Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race, Times Poll Finds

Should he prevail in Iowa and face a similarly fractured field of mainstream rivals in New Hampshire, where he also currently leads in the polls, Mr. Sanders could be difficult to slow.

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With solid support from liberals, Mr. Sanders appears to be peaking just as the caucuses approach. But many Iowa voters said they could still change their mind.

Image result for nytimes: With solid support from liberals, Mr. Sanders appears to be peaking just as the caucuses approach. But many Iowa voters said they could still change their mind.

DES MOINES — Senator Bernie Sanders has opened up a lead in Iowa just over a week before the Democratic caucuses, consolidating support from liberals and benefiting from divisions among more moderate presidential candidates who are clustered behind him, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely caucusgoers.

Mr. Sanders has gained six points since the last Times-Siena survey, in late October, and is now capturing 25 percent of the vote in Iowa. Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Ind., and former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. have remained stagnant since the fall, with Mr. Buttigieg capturing 18 percent and Mr. Biden 17 percent.

The rise of Mr. Sanders has come at the expense of his fellow…

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6 thoughts on “Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race, Times Poll Finds

    • I guess it depends on which Green New Deal he’s supporting, Aunty. I don’t support the one that’s proposes seizing people’s pension funds to fund Wall Street’s “fourth industrial revolution” (ie a whole crop of renewable energy industries controlled by the same oligarchs who control the fossil fuel industry). Solving the crisis of climate change means much more than switching to renewable energy. It will require a total shift away from the automobile (which requires public transportation and urban planning changes that reduce sprawl) and from industrial agriculture (which destroys the soils ability to store carbon) among other changes.

      Paul Hawken talks about many of these changes (which need to happen at the community level in his book Drawdown).

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  1. Dude, you’re not paying attention. I’m in Iowa. The polls are not meaningful anymore because of the demographics of how people deal with phones. You’re also not paying attention to who shows up at caucuses and how they work. You have to try to be more intelligent about this if you want things to happen.

    Iowa will most likely go with Biden because millennials do not appear to be planning to caucus, leaving it a GenX v. Boomers race, and GenX gets creamed that way. Amy might turn out to be surprisingly strong.

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  2. I’m well aware of the drawbacks of polls, Dude. I make the assumption that this particular poll probably only reflects the attitudes of people over 40 (since most pollsters mainly rely on landline phone surveys and are have no way of randomly selecting the cellphone numbers they contact). This is why I was pleasantly surprised to see Bernie do so well.

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  3. I guess my main concerns with it are 1) How he’s going to fund a program that needs to start next year and costs several trillion dollars – is he going to borrow this money from Wall Street? Alexandra Ocasio Cortez proposes to fund her Green New Deal by having the US Treasury spend the money directly into the economy as China’s Central Bank does. 2) Although he doesn’t mention the word carbon tax, he talks about increasing taxes on fossil fuel industries, who generally pass on the cost of increased taxes to energy consumers (the Yellow Vest protests in France were triggered by Macon’s proposal to institute this type of tax). 3) His desire to persuade investors to divest from fossil fuels and invest in green energy bonds. This sounds a whole lot like the 4th Industrial Revolution that was being promoted by Wall Street hedge funds and green equity honchos at Davos last year. Cory Morningstar has written about this in Mint Press and the wrong kind of Green:

    The Manufacturing of Greta Thunberg – for Consent: The Political Economy of the Non-Profit Industrial Complex [ACT I]

    Climate Change isn’t our only problem right now. We are also facing a mass extinction event, water shortages, topsoil shortages, etc along with skyrocketing suicide rates. In my view, a new kind of capitalist extraction and exploitation based on renewable energy, rather than fossil fuels, isn’t the answer. The solution will entail residents of industrial countries significantly scaling back their energy consumption and focusing on community and interdependence rather than accumulating material goods.

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