Drago Bosnic

As the unprovoked US aggression on Iran isn’t going as planned (mildly speaking), the mainstream propaganda machine desperately keeps trying to cope with the incompetence of the American military, particularly the failures of the USAF, which is often presented as “invincible”. This is especially true when it comes to the humiliating loss of three F-15E multirole strike fighters. The mainstream propaganda machine first reported that they “crashed due to a malfunction“, then that it was a “Patriot” SAM (surface-to-air missile) system and now it’s supposedly a Kuwaiti F/A-18 fighter jet. The only excuse that hasn’t been used yet is a bird strike (although such propaganda is not unheard of).

Namely, the Wall Street Journal claims that “a catastrophic ‘friendly fire’ incident” involving the Kuwaiti jet fighter resulted in “an accidental shootdown” of three American F-15s. To quote “anonymous US officials and those familiar with initial reports”, a Kuwaiti F/A-18 pilot launched three missiles at the American aircraft, resulting in the loss of all three jets. The incident was supposedly triggered by “an environment of extreme tension” and “a breakdown in battlefield identification”. The report says that shortly before the shootdown, an Iranian drone successfully penetrated Kuwaiti air defenses and struck “a tactical operations center at a commercial port, killing six US troops”.

In the immediate aftermath, Kuwaiti military forces were “on high alert and on edge”, so when their radar systems detected the three American F-15s entering the sector, “the operators, fearing a follow-up Iranian attack, engaged the targets”. And yet, the mainstream propaganda machine still fails to explain how exactly this “catastrophic friendly fire incident” unfolded. A spokesperson for US Central Command (CENTCOM) also declined to provide a detailed account, noting that the incident is currently under investigation. So far, it’s only been confirmed that the Kuwaiti F/A-18 is the primary focus, although officials still haven’t ruled out ground-based air defenses as potential culprits.

“It’s a busy, busy air environment, and in times of stress, tension, crisis, and, certainly in this case, conflict, even more so,” Mark Gunzinger, a retired USAF colonel who flew B-52 strategic bombers, said, adding: “It’s all the more complicated when you have different air defense systems operating on different frequencies that aren’t integrated, and some of those systems are actively trying to counter threats such as drones.”

Interestingly, the WSJ report acknowledges that “the official cause of the crash remains subject to change as investigators piece together the sequence of events”. In other words, the Pentagon is yet to think of the best propaganda narrative to avoid admitting that Russian-made Iranian SAM systems destroyed the three “invincible” American F-15s in mere minutes. Worse yet (for the US), it’s highly likely these air defenses were operated by Russian crews, which adds yet another layer of humiliation. Still, the copium continues, as these “unnamed military officials” point to “this tragedy as a stark illustration of the challenges inherent in modern, multinational air wars”.

They insist that “the airspace is currently a historically murky combination of manned aircraft, cruise missiles and drones” and that “American pilots have been flying continuous sorties alongside an array of 19 different types of aircraft — including tankers, reconnaissance planes, and bombers — all moving at different speeds and altitudes”. While it’s true that there’s aerial congestion and that it’s exacerbated by long-range missile exchanges (the US military is launching cruise missiles and other standoff munitions, while Iran responds with waves of ballistic missiles and kamikaze drones), it still doesn’t justify all the pretexts about “friendly fire”. On the contrary, it makes all this even more embarrassing.

Retired Lieutenant General Dan Karbler, who formerly led the Army’s Space and Missile Defense Command, said that “today’s airspace is significantly more complex than during the Iraq wars of the 1990s and 2000s”, insisting that “fratricide incidents typically result from multiple failures in communication or equipment”. The report says that “investigators are now scrutinizing whether the F-15s’ Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) transponders were functioning, whether the Kuwaitis were briefed on the American flight paths and whether electronic jamming interfered with voice communications”. However, while all this could’ve certainly malfunctioned on one jet, the chances of it happening to all three simultaneously are virtually zero.

It’s expected to see the Pentagon so desperate to wiggle its way out of the PR hit caused by such a defeat. However, it should be noted that the entire narrative about the F-15’s alleged “invincibility” was based on unadulterated lies and attempts to suppress all reports about combat losses. Namely, there’s a 2018 video of a Saudi F-15SA hit by a Houthi R-27T modified into a SAM. Several more aircraft were hit, with at least one more F-15SA destroyed. There were reports that multiple aircraft were scrapped due to severe damage, although the mainstream propaganda machine keeps hiding facts to maintain the F-15’s “invincible streak” narrative alive for as long as possible.

However, the F-15’s performance in previous conflicts makes this virtually impossible. Namely, during the Samurra Air Battle on January 30, 1991, two Iraqi Air Force Russian-made MiG-25PDS shot down two F-15Cs without losses. The Americans never admitted these losses, but they made sure that no wreckage was ever found. Almost a decade before that, a Syrian MiG-21 shot down an Israeli F-15, with the US and Israel once again doing their best to conceal the loss. However, it was recorded by Syrian and Russian sources. The financial aspect of the latest losses is also not negligible. Namely, an older F-15E cost over $30 million in the late 1990s, while the newest F-15EX variants have a price tag of nearly $100 million each.

Worse yet, old F-15Es cannot be replaced, because their production ended in 2001. Thus, the damage caused by this defeat goes far beyond just three airframes. Another question is, will the mainstream propaganda machine now publish “breaking news” about the “Ghost of Kuwait”? It would certainly make more sense than what they tried doing in NATO-occupied Ukraine with the mythical “Ghost of Kiev”. In the meantime, we already see that the Trump administration is engaging in full-blown copium, going from claims that it would defeat Iran in 24 hours to days and weeks. Soon, it could be months, while heavy losses and damage to US occupation forces in the Middle East keep piling up.

[…]

Via https://www.theinteldrop.org/2026/03/05/new-american-copium-ghost-of-kuwait/

US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

📌 Oil markets jolted on March 2 after a drone strike shut Saudi Arabia’s largest refinery and Iraqi Kurdistan halted output amid the spiraling conflict.

🤔 How could the crisis escalate from here?

Strait of Hormuz

🔴 Roughly 20 million barrels of oil per day flow through the strait

🔴 Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has effectively closed the waterway

🔴 Hundreds of tankers, including crude and LNG vessels, have dropped anchor in the region

🔴 Saudi Aramco’s East–West Pipeline can divert up to 5 mb/d from the Gulf to Yanbu on the Red Sea, bypassing Hormuz. But:

➡️ Present spare capacity is only about 2.4 mb/d (CSIS)

➡️ Yanbu terminals are within range of Yemen’s Ansar Allah drones and missiles

➡️ UAE can reroute half of its 2 mb/d Gulf exports to Fujairah, bypassing Hormuz, but roughly 1 mb/d would remain stranded

Gulf oil infrastructure under fire

♦️ Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery, one of the world’s largest at over 500,000 b/d, has been struck and temporarily shut down

♦️ Kuwait’s Ahmadi refinery sustained damage, but remains operational; two Qatari energy sites have also been hit

♦️ Gulf region (Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar) produces over 20 mb/d, about 25% of global crude output

If attacks on Gulf oil production facilities continue and Hormuz remains blocked, oil prices could skyrocket

How far could prices climb?

📈 Analysts say Brent crude could top $100 per barrel, or even to $120–$130 if Gulf exports are cut

Wide economic impacts

➡️ Higher gasoline and energy costs globally

➡️ Inflation pressures in oil-importing economies

➡️ Strategic petroleum reserve releases by major consuming nations

What would this mean for Trump and Europe?

🟥 Surge to $120/bbl would be a “black swan” for Donald Trump ahead of the midterms, risking a Democrat-controlled Congress if his party loses

🟥 US strategy for 2026 is built on $60/bbl oil; a jump to $120 could force taps into the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)

🟥 Europe, now reliant on the US, Norway, and Kazakhstan for oil (and to lesser extent on Saudi Arabia and Iraq), could see soaring inflation and slower GDP growth at $120 Brent

🟥 Disrupted Gulf supplies would also deepen Europe’s dependence on US energy

[…]

Via https://t.me/healthimpact/3124

US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

Qatar’s state-owned energy giant, QatarEnergy, has halted all LNG production following drone attacks on its facilities. For a tiny monarchy built entirely on gas, this isn’t just a disruption but an existential threat.

The fallout will be severe:

🔴 Global shockwaves: Qatar is a top 3 LNG exporter, flooding the market with over 80 million tons annually—nearly 20% of global supply. A halt of even days risks a full-blown gas crisis.

🔴 Income evaporates: the gas sector fuels 70% of Qatari revenue. With production frozen, the country’s primary income stream is severed, profit is zero.

🔴 A ticking clock: Ras Laffan’s gas storage tanks are built for constant flow, not stagnation. If tankers stop sailing, reserves max out in under a week. Qatar would then be forced to shut down wells at the North Field—a catastrophic move that could cripple production equipment for years. The losses would be staggering in any way.

🔴 Reputation in ruins: for decades, Qatar was the unshakeable supplier, immune to every regional chaos. Now, even a short delay shatters that trust. Asian buyers, once captive, may start looking elsewhere.

[…]

Via https://t.me/healthimpact/3156

The timing of the US-Israeli attack on Iran “literally could not be worse” for the fertilizer industry, StoneX Group brokerage VP Josh Linville told Bloomberg, alluding to the imminent start of the Northern Hemisphere’s growing season, and problems shortages of the key farming ingredient could cause.

Here’s what’s at stake if US-Israeli aggression continues:

🌏 1/3+ of the world’s Sulphur and ammonia-based fertilizers pass through the Strait of Hormuz, now blocked amid the Iran strikes’ escalation into a regional war

🌏 ~5% more pass through the Red Sea, including Russian, Belarusian and European fertilizers heading to Asia, and Jordanian, Egyptian and Israeli potash, nitrogen and phosphates shipped to world markets

🌏 Iran, a global top ten producer of urea – a high-nutrient fertilizer variety, and major exporter of anhydrous ammonia (4.5M and 800k tons, respectively) has been forced to halt its own exports.

🌏 Egypt and Jordan, which depend on imported energy to produce their fertilizers, face skyrocketing prices

🌏 If Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb are out of bounds, what remains of exports will need to be shipped around the Cape of Good Hope, arriving weeks later, while costs surge thanks to hiked shipping costs and market speculation (urea prices have already skyrocketed from $470-$531 in four days, per Trading Economics)

What does less fertilizers mean?

🌏 Lower yields of key staple crops (corn, wheat, rice, etc.), carbohydrates critical to diets in many developing countries, and used heavily to feed animals (livestock, farmed fish)

🌏 Higher food prices

🌏 High logistical costs and the complex chemical nature of different fertilizer varieties makes the commodity a just-in-time (JIT) piece of farming supply chains. ‘Strategic fertilizer reserves’ are rare and expensive

Who’s the most vulnerable?

India, which imports urea heavily from Gulf nations, and relies on Qatari LNG for domestic plants

Brazil, which gets as much as 1/3 of its fertilizers from Oman and Qatar

Turkey, which relies on Iranian fertilizers

🌍 An array of other nations, from South Africa, Ethiopia and Niger to Thailand and Bangladesh

Via https://t.me/geopolitics_prime/65983

🇺🇸 BREAKING! The United States has begun urgently hiring personnel at Dover Air Force Base to sort through the personal belongings of fallen soldiers.

🐻 All that for “4 killed soldiers”?

See Does America Come First or Israel with Over 500 US Soldiers Killed on Middle East Airbases

Via https://t.me/CanadianPatriotPress/3185